The numbers are truly staggering, according to 'Tourism Towards 2030' the number of international tourist arrivals worldwide are expected to increase by an average of 3.3% a year over the period 2010 to 2030. Whilst it is expected that the rate of growth will gradually decrease over time, in numbers, international tourist arrivals will increase by some 43 million a year (compared to 28 million a year during the period 1995 to 2010). At this projected rate of growth, international tourist arrivals worldwide are expected to reach 1.4 billion by 2020 and 1.8 billion by 2030.
Global market share for Asia and the Pacific (upto 30% in 2030, from 22% in 2010), the Middle East and Africa will all increase. However, it is not all upward, mainly because of the slower growth of the mature destinations in Northern and Western Europe, Europe (to 41% from 51%) is expected to see a decline in their share of international tourism, although absolute numbers will still rise.
'With uninterrupted growth in arrivals for eight straight years, it seems we need to ensure that our destinations are prepared, not only for an increase in demand, but that we have the skills and capacity to handle new markets and growing customer expectation. Not to mention how as an industry, we come to terms with mitigating the potential global environmental impact." - Adrian Greason-Walker, Policy Advocate, WTA
'Tourism Towards 2030' can be found here - www.e-unwto.org/doi/pdf/10.18111/9789284419029